£100m, 15 Players and Absolutely No Idea..

I've entered FPL again. The slight issue? I barely know anything about Premier League football anymore.

Team Locked · Gameweek 1
Previous post Welcome to the Fantasy Football Experiment. Read the beginning →

My FPL Gameweek 1 Team is locked. There is no going back now.

I've entered FPL again.

Which is slightly strange when you consider that most of my football brain these days is occupied by women's football, Football Manager and trying to remember when the next WSL fixture is.

The Premier League hasn't exactly disappeared from my life. I still know the big clubs, the obvious players and can usually work out roughly who is supposed to be good.

But I'm not spending every weekend studying Premier League matches or checking which midfielder has taken three more touches in the final third than someone else.

The problem
I barely follow the Premier League anymore.

Naturally, this seemed like the perfect time to build an FPL team and start writing about it.

So, what's the plan?

There isn't really one.

I'm winging this.

I looked at last season's points, goals, assists, minutes, prices and fixtures. Then I picked the players who made the most sense to me and tried not to change my mind every five minutes.

Sometimes there was a proper reason. Sometimes I liked the price. Occasionally, I just liked the name.

That is the level of expert analysis we're working with here.

The methodology
Stats. Prices. Fixtures. And vibes, apparently.

Goalkeepers

This was probably the easiest part of the squad.

I wanted two goalkeepers who actually play. A wild concept, apparently.

Goalkeeper · Starter

David Raya

£6.0m
19 clean sheets last season
162 points 37 starts
Why I picked him

Raya was one of the easiest picks in the whole squad. He got 19 clean sheets last season and starts Gameweek 1 at home to Coventry. Even I couldn't overthink that one.

GW1 Coventry Home
Goalkeeper · Backup

Caoimhín Kelleher

£5.0m
109 saves last season
143 points 37 starts
Why I picked him

Kelleher was £1m cheaper than Raya and still managed 143 points. The 109 saves also caught my eye. If the defence gives him plenty to do, at least he can get points for being busy.

GW1 Wolves Away

Defenders

Defence is probably the least exciting part of the squad, which is exactly how I wanted it.

I wasn't trying to find five players who would make me look clever. I wanted clean sheets, minutes and the occasional goal or assist if they were feeling generous.

Defender · Premium Pick

Gabriel

£8.0m
209 points last season
18 clean sheets 8 goal involvements
Why I picked him

Gabriel was expensive, but 209 points is a very good way of getting my attention. Arsenal also have Coventry at home in Gameweek 1, so apparently my strategy is simply owning as many Arsenal players as possible.

GW1 Coventry Home
Defender

James Tarkowski

£6.0m
170 points last season
11 clean sheets 37 starts
Why I picked him

Tarkowski started 37 matches and scored 170 points. For £6m, that felt like a solid pick. There is probably a much deeper explanation available, but I chose to stop researching when the numbers looked nice.

GW1 Crystal Palace Home
Defender

Virgil van Dijk

£6.5m
6 goals last season
175 points 38 starts
Why I picked him

Van Dijk played every week, scored six goals and finished on 175 points. That's basically the entire argument. I saw a reliable defender who occasionally remembers he's very tall at corners and clicked buy.

GW1 Newcastle Away
Defender

Marc Guéhi

£6.0m
14 clean sheets
179 points 3 goals
Why I picked him

Guéhi was one of the picks I spent a bit more time thinking about. 179 points for £6m looked pretty good to me. That's honestly the level of analysis we're working with here.

GW1 Bournemouth Home
Defender

Marcos Senesi

£6.0m
6 assists last season
175 points 14 clean sheets
Why I picked him

Senesi wasn't the most obvious name I looked at, which is probably why I ended up liking the pick. 175 points, 14 clean sheets and six assists felt like a decent amount of return for £6m. I may have found a bargain. Or I may have simply clicked on a player with a nice stat line.

GW1 Brighton Away

Midfielders

This is where the squad started to feel less like a plan and more like a collection of decisions that I now have to defend.

There were plenty of midfielders I liked. There were also plenty of players that seemed like very obvious picks.

Naturally, I ignored some of them.

Midfielder · Main Pick

Antoine Semenyo

£8.5m
17 goals last season
202 points 6 assists
Why I picked him

Semenyo scored 202 points last season, including 17 goals. At that point, the research was mostly done for me. Hopefully the Gameweek 1 fixture doesn't immediately make me regret everything.

GW1 Bournemouth Home
Midfielder

Declan Rice

£7.5m
184 points last season
4 goals 9 assists
Why I picked him

Rice got 184 points and costs £7.5m. He's also another Arsenal player facing Coventry at home. At this point, I'm beginning to suspect I may have accidentally built my entire Gameweek 1 strategy around one fixture.

GW1 Coventry Home
Midfielder

Elliot Anderson

£6.5m
180 points last season
37 starts 5 assists
Why I picked him

Anderson got 180 points last season for a player priced at £6.5m. He started every match too, which I quite like because players who actually play tend to be more useful than the ones sitting on the bench.

GW1 Bournemouth Home
Midfielder

Harry Wilson

£6.5m
10 goals last season
168 points 9 assists
Why I picked him

Ten goals and nine assists for £6.5m looked pretty good to me. I don't have a complicated tactical reason beyond that. Sometimes you see 19 goal involvements and decide that's enough research for one evening.

GW1 Nott'm Forest Away
Midfielder · Vibes Pick

Enzo Le Fée

£6.0m
147 points last season
5 goals 6 assists
Why I picked him

Right. Full honesty? I liked his name. The 147 points, five goals and six assists helped, obviously. But if we're being completely serious, "Enzo Le Fée" definitely got him onto the shortlist before the spreadsheet did.

GW1 West Ham Home

Forwards

This is probably where the squad starts looking questionable.

Haaland scored 239 points last season. He costs £15.5m.

I looked at all that information and decided not to pick him.

Haaland doesn't play until Sunday, so at least I have a couple of days before finding out whether this was a terrible idea.

The big decision

No Haaland.

This could either look like a clever way of spreading the budget around or the worst decision I've made all season. There will probably be a clearer answer by Sunday evening.

Forward · Main Pick

Igor Thiago

£8.0m
22 goals last season
181 points £8.0m price
Why I picked him

Twenty-two goals. That's the reason. I could probably write another paragraph, but 22 is doing most of the talking here.

GW1 Spurs Home
Forward

João Pedro

£7.5m
15 goals last season
177 points 9 assists
Why I picked him

João Pedro got 177 points, scored 15 goals and added nine assists. For £7.5m, that felt like a good way to spread the money around instead of putting half the budget into one extremely large Norwegian.

GW1 Fulham Away
Forward · Value Pick

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

£6.0m
14 goals last season
142 points 30 starts
Why I picked him

Calvert-Lewin is the value pick. £6m for someone who scored 14 goals last season felt worth the gamble. The slightly weird part is that he's playing for Leeds and I'm a Wednesday fan, so this already feels like a questionable life choice. FPL clearly makes you do strange things.

GW1 Crystal Palace Home
The maths
£21.5m. Three forwards for £6m more than Haaland.

That's the theory, anyway.

Spread the money around. Have more players capable of scoring points. Don't rely on one player costing £15.5m.

Ask me again on Sunday.

The big names I rejected

Some players were very difficult to leave out.

Others were easier to ignore because the budget had already disappeared and I was pretending that was part of the strategy.

×

Bruno Fernandes

235 points last season. Leaving him out feels brave. Or stupid. Time will tell.

£12.0m
×

Bukayo Saka

Arsenal at home to Coventry. I already own three Arsenal players, and apparently that was where I had to stop.

£9.5m
×

Erling Haaland

239 points. £15.5m. Not in my team. I have said enough.

£15.5m
×

Morgan Gibbs-White

188 points and one of the players I liked most. Still somehow missed out.

£8.0m
×

Ollie Watkins

A very sensible option. Unfortunately, I had already fallen for Thiago, João Pedro and DCL.

£8.0m
×

Viktor Gyökeres

Plenty of potential. I went with my other forwards instead, which is a sentence I may regret.

£7.5m
×

Phil Foden

£7m for Foden was tempting. I still looked elsewhere.

£7.0m
×

Cole Palmer

This could age horribly.

£9.5m

So... this is the team

After all the changes, second-guessing and staring at player prices for far longer than any normal person should, this is where I ended up.

The £100m experiment

Every. Last. Penny.

GK Raya · Kelleher £11m
DEF Gabriel · Tarkowski · Virgil · Guéhi · Senesi £32.5m
MID Semenyo · Rice · Anderson · Wilson · Le Fée £35m
FWD Thiago · João Pedro · Calvert-Lewin £21.5m

Gameweek 1

The deadline has passed.

Which is actually quite nice because I can no longer make another transfer, change my captain six times or suddenly decide that a completely different player is essential.

The team is locked. Whatever happens now is officially somebody else's fault. Probably Haaland's.

Raya Coventry (H)
Gabriel Coventry (H)
Guéhi Bournemouth (H)
Virgil Newcastle (A)
Tarkowski Crystal Palace (H)
Semenyo (C) Bournemouth (H)
Rice (VC) Coventry (H)
Anderson Bournemouth (H)
Wilson Nott'm Forest (A)
Thiago Spurs (H)
João Pedro Fulham (A)

Am I actually going to keep doing this?

Honestly, I quite like the idea of turning this into a little series.

Not as an expert FPL guide. There are already plenty of people who actually know what they're doing for that.

This is more going to be me figuring things out as I go.

I'll look back at each Gameweek, see who returned, see who blanked, work out which transfers were sensible and laugh at the ones that clearly weren't.

There will probably be some good decisions. There will definitely be some terrible ones.

Haaland also plays on Sunday, so I won't have to wait long to find out whether leaving him out was genius or complete nonsense.

Important warning
I am not an FPL expert. I'm just winging it.

And maybe that's the fun of it.

No pretending that every decision comes from some advanced model. No acting like I can predict exactly what will happen.

I've picked 15 players, spent exactly £100m and now I'm going to see what happens.

Hopefully, I still remember I have a team in a month's time.

For now, though, the squad is locked.

Gameweek 1 · Let's see what happens.

£100m, 15 Players and Absolutely No Idea..

I've entered FPL again. The slight issue? I barely know anything about Premier League football anymore.

Team Locked · Gameweek 1
Previous post Welcome to the Fantasy Football Experiment. Read the beginning →

My Gameweek 1 squad is locked. There is no going back now.

I've entered FPL again.

Which is slightly strange when you consider that most of my football brain these days is occupied by women's football, Football Manager and trying to remember when the next WSL fixture is.

The Premier League hasn't exactly disappeared from my life. I still know the big clubs, the obvious players and can usually work out roughly who is supposed to be good.

But I'm not spending every weekend studying Premier League matches or checking which midfielder has taken three more touches in the final third than someone else.

The problem
I barely follow the Premier League anymore.

Naturally, this seemed like the perfect time to build an FPL team and start writing about it.

So, what's the plan?

There isn't really one.

I'm winging this.

I looked at last season's points, goals, assists, minutes, prices and fixtures. Then I picked the players who made the most sense to me and tried not to change my mind every five minutes.

Sometimes there was a proper reason. Sometimes I liked the price. Occasionally, I just liked the name.

That is the level of expert analysis we're working with here.

The methodology
Stats. Prices. Fixtures. And vibes, apparently.

Goalkeepers

This was probably the easiest part of the squad.

I wanted two goalkeepers who actually play. A wild concept, apparently.

Goalkeeper · Starter

David Raya

£6.0m
19 clean sheets last season
162 points 37 starts
Why I picked him

Raya was one of the easiest picks in the whole squad. He got 19 clean sheets last season and starts Gameweek 1 at home to Coventry. Even I couldn't overthink that one.

GW1 Coventry Home
Goalkeeper · Backup

Caoimhín Kelleher

£5.0m
109 saves last season
143 points 37 starts
Why I picked him

Kelleher was £1m cheaper than Raya and still managed 143 points. The 109 saves also caught my eye. If the defence gives him plenty to do, at least he can get points for being busy.

GW1 Wolves Away

Defenders

Defence is probably the least exciting part of the squad, which is exactly how I wanted it.

I wasn't trying to find five players who would make me look clever. I wanted clean sheets, minutes and the occasional goal or assist if they were feeling generous.

Defender · Premium Pick

Gabriel

£8.0m
209 points last season
18 clean sheets 8 goal involvements
Why I picked him

Gabriel was expensive, but 209 points is a very good way of getting my attention. Arsenal also have Coventry at home in Gameweek 1, so apparently my strategy is simply owning as many Arsenal players as possible.

GW1 Coventry Home
Defender

James Tarkowski

£6.0m
170 points last season
11 clean sheets 37 starts
Why I picked him

Tarkowski started 37 matches and scored 170 points. For £6m, that felt like a solid pick. There is probably a much deeper explanation available, but I chose to stop researching when the numbers looked nice.

GW1 Crystal Palace Home
Defender

Virgil van Dijk

£6.5m
6 goals last season
175 points 38 starts
Why I picked him

Van Dijk played every week, scored six goals and finished on 175 points. That's basically the entire argument. I saw a reliable defender who occasionally remembers he's very tall at corners and clicked buy.

GW1 Newcastle Away
Defender

Marc Guéhi

£6.0m
14 clean sheets
179 points 3 goals
Why I picked him

Guéhi was one of the picks I spent a bit more time thinking about. 179 points for £6m looked pretty good to me. That's honestly the level of analysis we're working with here.

GW1 Bournemouth Home
Defender

Marcos Senesi

£6.0m
6 assists last season
175 points 14 clean sheets
Why I picked him

Senesi wasn't the most obvious name I looked at, which is probably why I ended up liking the pick. 175 points, 14 clean sheets and six assists felt like a decent amount of return for £6m. I may have found a bargain. Or I may have simply clicked on a player with a nice stat line.

GW1 Brighton Away

Midfielders

This is where the squad started to feel less like a plan and more like a collection of decisions that I now have to defend.

There were plenty of midfielders I liked. There were also plenty of players that seemed like very obvious picks.

Naturally, I ignored some of them.

Midfielder · Main Pick

Antoine Semenyo

£8.5m
17 goals last season
202 points 6 assists
Why I picked him

Semenyo scored 202 points last season, including 17 goals. At that point, the research was mostly done for me. Hopefully the Gameweek 1 fixture doesn't immediately make me regret everything.

GW1 Bournemouth Home
Midfielder

Declan Rice

£7.5m
184 points last season
4 goals 9 assists
Why I picked him

Rice got 184 points and costs £7.5m. He's also another Arsenal player facing Coventry at home. At this point, I'm beginning to suspect I may have accidentally built my entire Gameweek 1 strategy around one fixture.

GW1 Coventry Home
Midfielder

Elliot Anderson

£6.5m
180 points last season
37 starts 5 assists
Why I picked him

Anderson got 180 points last season for a player priced at £6.5m. He started every match too, which I quite like because players who actually play tend to be more useful than the ones sitting on the bench.

GW1 Bournemouth Home
Midfielder

Harry Wilson

£6.5m
10 goals last season
168 points 9 assists
Why I picked him

Ten goals and nine assists for £6.5m looked pretty good to me. I don't have a complicated tactical reason beyond that. Sometimes you see 19 goal involvements and decide that's enough research for one evening.

GW1 Nott'm Forest Away
Midfielder · Vibes Pick

Enzo Le Fée

£6.0m
147 points last season
5 goals 6 assists
Why I picked him

Right. Full honesty? I liked his name. The 147 points, five goals and six assists helped, obviously. But if we're being completely serious, "Enzo Le Fée" definitely got him onto the shortlist before the spreadsheet did.

GW1 West Ham Home

Forwards

This is probably where the squad starts looking questionable.

Haaland scored 239 points last season. He costs £15.5m.

I looked at all that information and decided not to pick him.

Haaland doesn't play until Sunday, so at least I have a couple of days before finding out whether this was a terrible idea.

The big decision

No Haaland.

This could either look like a clever way of spreading the budget around or the worst decision I've made all season. There will probably be a clearer answer by Sunday evening.

Forward · Main Pick

Igor Thiago

£8.0m
22 goals last season
181 points £8.0m price
Why I picked him

Twenty-two goals. That's the reason. I could probably write another paragraph, but 22 is doing most of the talking here.

GW1 Spurs Home
Forward

João Pedro

£7.5m
15 goals last season
177 points 9 assists
Why I picked him

João Pedro got 177 points, scored 15 goals and added nine assists. For £7.5m, that felt like a good way to spread the money around instead of putting half the budget into one extremely large Norwegian.

GW1 Fulham Away
Forward · Value Pick

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

£6.0m
14 goals last season
142 points 30 starts
Why I picked him

Calvert-Lewin is the value pick. £6m for someone who scored 14 goals last season felt worth the gamble. The slightly weird part is that he's playing for Leeds and I'm a Wednesday fan, so this already feels like a questionable life choice. FPL clearly makes you do strange things.

GW1 Crystal Palace Home
The maths
£21.5m. Three forwards for £6m more than Haaland.

That's the theory, anyway.

Spread the money around. Have more players capable of scoring points. Don't rely on one player costing £15.5m.

Ask me again on Sunday.

The big names I rejected

Some players were very difficult to leave out.

Others were easier to ignore because the budget had already disappeared and I was pretending that was part of the strategy.

×

Bruno Fernandes

235 points last season. Leaving him out feels brave. Or stupid. Time will tell.

£12.0m
×

Bukayo Saka

Arsenal at home to Coventry. I already own three Arsenal players, and apparently that was where I had to stop.

£9.5m
×

Erling Haaland

239 points. £15.5m. Not in my team. I have said enough.

£15.5m
×

Morgan Gibbs-White

188 points and one of the players I liked most. Still somehow missed out.

£8.0m
×

Ollie Watkins

A very sensible option. Unfortunately, I had already fallen for Thiago, João Pedro and DCL.

£8.0m
×

Viktor Gyökeres

Plenty of potential. I went with my other forwards instead, which is a sentence I may regret.

£7.5m
×

Phil Foden

£7m for Foden was tempting. I still looked elsewhere.

£7.0m
×

Cole Palmer

This could age horribly.

£9.5m

So... this is the team

After all the changes, second-guessing and staring at player prices for far longer than any normal person should, this is where I ended up.

The £100m experiment

Every. Last. Penny.

GK Raya · Kelleher £11m
DEF Gabriel · Tarkowski · Virgil · Guéhi · Senesi £32.5m
MID Semenyo · Rice · Anderson · Wilson · Le Fée £35m
FWD Thiago · João Pedro · Calvert-Lewin £21.5m

Gameweek 1

The deadline has passed.

Which is actually quite nice because I can no longer make another transfer, change my captain six times or suddenly decide that a completely different player is essential.

The team is locked. Whatever happens now is officially somebody else's fault. Probably Haaland's.

Raya Coventry (H)
Gabriel Coventry (H)
Guéhi Bournemouth (H)
Virgil Newcastle (A)
Tarkowski Crystal Palace (H)
Semenyo (C) Bournemouth (H)
Rice (VC) Coventry (H)
Anderson Bournemouth (H)
Wilson Nott'm Forest (A)
Thiago Spurs (H)
João Pedro Fulham (A)

Am I actually going to keep doing this?

Honestly, I quite like the idea of turning this into a little series.

Not as an expert FPL guide. There are already plenty of people who actually know what they're doing for that.

This is more going to be me figuring things out as I go.

I'll look back at each Gameweek, see who returned, see who blanked, work out which transfers were sensible and laugh at the ones that clearly weren't.

There will probably be some good decisions. There will definitely be some terrible ones.

Haaland also plays on Sunday, so I won't have to wait long to find out whether leaving him out was genius or complete nonsense.

Important warning
I am not an FPL expert. I'm just winging it.

And maybe that's the fun of it.

No pretending that every decision comes from some advanced model. No acting like I can predict exactly what will happen.

I've picked 15 players, spent exactly £100m and now I'm going to see what happens.

Hopefully, I still remember I have a team in a month's time.

For now, though, the squad is locked.

Gameweek 1 · Let's see what happens.